Here in this episode of the Touchdown Trends series, here in 4for4, we will take a look at the tough end position for imaginary football. As always, the data are not predictions – and its interpretation is not a perfect science – but the investigation is merit. Again, similarly WR ArticleThe strategy is to evaluate the touchdown rate (per target) from different field positions and highlight the outlets on both sides of the sample. Take a look at the data of the last 10 years to set a baseline here.
Through the TD Rate Tess. (Photo by 4for4.com)
Keeping all this mathematics in mind, there are two names for noting the results of the previous season to come and go into the imaginary drafts of 2025.
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TJ Hawkson, Minnesota Vikings
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2024 Expected Total TDS – 4.6
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2024 Original Total TDS – 0
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Total TDS – 4.6
Hawkson has never been a “gronic” end, which lives in the closing zone. His carrier for touchdowns in a season is only six (in 2020 and 2022, when it was mid -Seson trading). Still, Zero touchdowns on 62 goals in just 10 games … that’s not right. Among the cases behind Hawkinson’s 2024 laughter egg: He saw the target of only one end zone (and not caught it), after an average of seven such targets in the area and more than three TDs each year each year. He also saw the goals of only eight red zones as a whole, and (obviously) did not score any of his three receptions.
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It is possible that at the end of the 2023 season, the knee injury could be attributed to the reasons for the removal of Hawkson, which kept it out for 9 weeks last year. The year 2 is coming away from the ACL (and the MCL in the case of Hawkinson), injuries are window where fantasy performance returns to normal levels. Although “essentially” QBJ JJ JJ JJ McKarti has raised some question marks on Minnesota’s crime, I have confidence in McCarti’s profile and Kevin O’inal coaching. With a fully healthy knee, an appropriate target share, an active crime, and math collision, Hawkson may threaten to raise his career once again in TD … and the 5th 6th round can cost a draft in his current ADP.
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Tucker Craft, Green Bay Packers
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2024 Expected Total TDS – 3.7
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2024 Original Total TDS – 7
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Total TDS -3.3 above expected
I am a beautiful “feeder” of Tucker Craft in this season, as I believe that high draft Luke Misgro has returned to threaten his upside down, including Matthew Golden, Jayden Red, Romeo Dubs, Donatovan Watson, and some money. The craft saw 70 goals last season and scored 10 % of these goals – twice the league’s average and the highest position at this position by anyone with 70+ goals. And although it is possible that the craft is only a great player – his 14.1 yards per reception was also an elite last year – even the hard -working ends do not regularly score 10 % of their goals (except Rob Gronkosky, who are above the “great”).
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The target expectations for the craft vary in 2025, but John Paulon’s 4for4 estimates it only gets 43 catches, which will be equal to about 60 60 targets – compared to less than its previous season and more than I expect. Even if we give it an average of touchdown rate-7 %-that’s touchdown will remain four in 2025. Most of them have been cooked in its current ADP-T11-but keep it in mind when people label it as “sleep” or “unconstitutional”.
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This story actually appeared in its entire form of 4for4.com.
